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All tagged crude
◢ A new report from TankerTrackers.com indicates that Iran exported an average 2.2 million bpd of crude oil in the first two weeks of October, a 10 percent rise from the September average. October’s higher export volumes could reflect long-standing customers buying more oil ahead of planned reductions in November, when sanctions are expected to prevent many refiners from taking Iranian crude.
◢ Iran is resorting to “Houdini tricks” to sustain oil exports as US sanctions loom and new data suggests the magic might be working. While S&P Global Platts has reported Iran’s September exports at about 1.7 million bpd, marking an 11 percent decline from August, data from TankerTrackers.com, puts the export volume at just over 2 million bpd. The divergence in the datasets represents not merely 300,000 bpd, but also the difference between two narratives about the state of Iran’s exports in the face of returning US sanctions.
◢ In the coming weeks, the US administration will intensify its economic pressure on Iran through sanctions designed to curtail the country’s oil exports. Given that these exports account for a significant percentage of state revenue, the measures will hit Iran hard. Yet the sanctions will also have an impact on energy markets far beyond Iran, and may lead to a rise in global oil prices.
