Iran’s Arab neighbours have acknowledged that they can benefit from JCPOA-related sanctions relief, suggesting that regional diplomacy underway has reinforced trust in the nuclear talks.
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All in Policy
Iran’s Arab neighbours have acknowledged that they can benefit from JCPOA-related sanctions relief, suggesting that regional diplomacy underway has reinforced trust in the nuclear talks.
If Iranian leaders are concerned that the “economic war” might resume if Trump returns to office 2024, they ought to remember that they are in an economic war right now. The restoration of the JCPOA represents an opportunity for a useful ceasefire.
Leaders in the United Arab Emirates are eyeing an economic windfall should the Biden administration succeed in its effort to return to Iran nuclear deal. But they have not waited for the lifting of sanctions to begin earning billions from Iran.
A new report from the Majlis Research Center offers the first assessment of what “verified” sanctions relief might look like, providing a glimpse into how negotiators will take forward a key demand set out by Iran’s Supreme Leader.
Although Iran’s accession to the SCO—which may take up to two years to complete—appears significant, the move is unlikely to substantially change Iran’s geopolitical position.
Raisi’s new cabinet is composed of men he has praised as “expert, efficient and revolutionary.” The question is to what extent the cabinet can implement the resistance economy model given its inherent limitations.
The Rouhani administration’s efforts to foster regional diplomacy were never taken seriously by Arab leaders. But the participation of Iran in the Baghdad Conference makes clear that the importance of regional diplomacy is understood even among Iran’s so-called hardliners.
The Raisi administration must ensure that Iran’s foreign policy serves to minimise external challenges, so that the capacity of the government can be focused on the domestic crises where the needs are most acute.
Unwinding sanctions will be central to reviving the nuclear deal. If the Biden administration wants a lasting solution, it must involve Iran’s central bank governor.
The Arab moment has passed. Competition between non-Arab powers—Turkey, Iran, and Israel—will shape the region’s future.
An enduring hawkishness shapes France-Iran relations and the French leadership may discourage Biden from making conciliatory gestures towards Iran.
Earlier this week, Mohammed bin Abdulrahman Al Thani, the foreign minister of Qatar, travelled to Tehran in the latest instance of Doha's efforts to act as a facilitator for the resolution of international conflicts.
Maintaining maximum pressure to inflict more pain won’t bring Tehran back to the negotiating table or halt Iran’s nuclear ambitions.
Iran’s Supreme Leader has insisted that the US must lift sanctions “in practice” and not “on paper,” noting that Iran would seek to “verify” any sanctions relief as part of US re-entry into the nuclear deal. But unlike Iran’s own nuclear commitments, which are verified by the IAEA, there is no such body to ensure sanctions relief is being implemented.
Iran’s oil exports are rising and the sector is growing for the first time in two years. The recovery poses a dilemma for Biden, who faces a growing constituency in Tehran unsure if there's enough to be gained should the US be allowed to rejoin the JCPOA.
Iran will expect economic benefits as part of any mutual return to compliance with the nuclear deal. If Washington and Europe hope to offer a meaningful economic incentive, engaging with the private sector and managing Tehran’s expectations will be key.
Insisting that Iran must abandon its missile program could see Joe Biden fall into the hardliners’ trap and make a new agreement impossible.
By the end of the 1920s, US-Iran relations had reached a low-point and archaeology was “about the only thing” that stood “ much chance of bringing results” in a fraught diplomatic relationship. Nearly a century later, as Biden prepares a new push for better relations with Iran, archaeology could again play a central role.
While a considerable number of Iranian heritage professionals are still working on international collaborations, the shifting winds of both global and Iranian domestic politics have made archaeological fieldwork in Iran a complicated and risky endeavor.
The Biden administration should propose a serious rollback of U.S. sanctions—including over the use of the U.S. dollar—in return for diplomatic relations, a JCPOA 2.0 that indefinitely extends restrictions on Iran’s nuclear program, and a nonaggression pact.
